Last updated: 2020-01-18

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Knit directory: drift-workflow/analysis/

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Rmd 83fdbc5 Jason Willwerscheid 2020-01-18 wflow_publish(“analysis/admix_sim_full2.Rmd”)

suppressMessages({
  library(flashier)
  library(drift.alpha)
  library(ggplot2)
  library(reshape2)
  library(tidyverse)
})

The oddest thing about the previous simulation was that populations 1 and 4 were found to be correlated (albeit only slightly). Here I re-run with a different seed and a larger value of \(w\) to see whether that phenomenom persists. (I’ll test smaller \(w\) in a subsequent simulation.)

I also note that the KL divergence term for factors was lower for the greedy initialization, while the KL divergence term for loadings was (as expected) higher for the backfitted initialization. I increase \(p\) a bit here to see whether I can push the greedy ELBO above the backfit ELBO.

set.seed(90210)
simple.admix <- admix_graph_sim(n_per_pop = 20, p = 50000, 
                                c1 = 1, c2 = 1, c3 = 1, c4 = 1,
                                c5 = 0.5, c6 = 1, c7 = 0.5,
                                w = 0.35, sigma_e = sqrt(0.1))
plot_cov(simple.admix$covmat, as.is = TRUE)

Flash initialization (greedy)

Initial values

fl <- flash(simple.admix$Y, prior.family = c(prior.bimodal(), prior.normal()))
#> Adding factor 1 to flash object...
#> Adding factor 2 to flash object...
#> Warning in estimate_mixprop(data, g, prior, optmethod = optmethod, control
#> = control, : Optimization failed to converge. Results may be unreliable.
#> Try increasing maxiter and rerunning.
#> Adding factor 3 to flash object...
#> Warning in estimate_mixprop(data, g, prior, optmethod = optmethod, control
#> = control, : Optimization failed to converge. Results may be unreliable.
#> Try increasing maxiter and rerunning.

#> Warning in estimate_mixprop(data, g, prior, optmethod = optmethod, control
#> = control, : Optimization failed to converge. Results may be unreliable.
#> Try increasing maxiter and rerunning.
#> Adding factor 4 to flash object...
#> Adding factor 5 to flash object...
#> Adding factor 6 to flash object...
#> Adding factor 7 to flash object...
#> Factor doesn't significantly increase objective and won't be added.
#> Wrapping up...
#> Done.
#> Nullchecking 6 factors...
#> Done.
labs <- rep(c("A", "B", "C", "D"), each = 20)
plot_loadings(fl$flash.fit$EF[[1]], labs)

Drift results

drift.flg <- drift(init_from_flash(fl), miniter = 1750, maxiter = 2000, tol = 0.001, verbose = FALSE)
ggplot(drift.flg$iterations, aes(x = iter, y = elbo)) + geom_line()

drift.flg[c("elbo", "KL_l", "KL_f")]
#> $elbo
#> [1] -1636784
#> 
#> $KL_l
#> [1] -247.36172 -171.67651 -173.89632  -74.02671 -173.29096  -45.12987
#> 
#> $KL_f
#> [1] -565375.8

plot_loadings(drift.flg$EL, labs,  paste("s2:", round(drift.flg$prior_s2, 2)))

plot_cov(drift.flg)

Flash initialization (backfit)

Initial values

fl <- fl %>% flash.backfit() %>% flash.nullcheck(remove = TRUE)
#> Backfitting 6 factors (tolerance: 5.96e-02)...
#>   Difference between iterations is within 1.0e+05...
#>   Difference between iterations is within 1.0e+04...
#>   Difference between iterations is within 1.0e+03...
#> Warning in estimate_mixprop(data, g, prior, optmethod = optmethod, control
#> = control, : Optimization failed to converge. Results may be unreliable.
#> Try increasing maxiter and rerunning.

#> Warning in estimate_mixprop(data, g, prior, optmethod = optmethod, control
#> = control, : Optimization failed to converge. Results may be unreliable.
#> Try increasing maxiter and rerunning.

#> Warning in estimate_mixprop(data, g, prior, optmethod = optmethod, control
#> = control, : Optimization failed to converge. Results may be unreliable.
#> Try increasing maxiter and rerunning.

#> Warning in estimate_mixprop(data, g, prior, optmethod = optmethod, control
#> = control, : Optimization failed to converge. Results may be unreliable.
#> Try increasing maxiter and rerunning.

#> Warning in estimate_mixprop(data, g, prior, optmethod = optmethod, control
#> = control, : Optimization failed to converge. Results may be unreliable.
#> Try increasing maxiter and rerunning.

#> Warning in estimate_mixprop(data, g, prior, optmethod = optmethod, control
#> = control, : Optimization failed to converge. Results may be unreliable.
#> Try increasing maxiter and rerunning.

#> Warning in estimate_mixprop(data, g, prior, optmethod = optmethod, control
#> = control, : Optimization failed to converge. Results may be unreliable.
#> Try increasing maxiter and rerunning.

#> Warning in estimate_mixprop(data, g, prior, optmethod = optmethod, control
#> = control, : Optimization failed to converge. Results may be unreliable.
#> Try increasing maxiter and rerunning.

#> Warning in estimate_mixprop(data, g, prior, optmethod = optmethod, control
#> = control, : Optimization failed to converge. Results may be unreliable.
#> Try increasing maxiter and rerunning.

#> Warning in estimate_mixprop(data, g, prior, optmethod = optmethod, control
#> = control, : Optimization failed to converge. Results may be unreliable.
#> Try increasing maxiter and rerunning.

#> Warning in estimate_mixprop(data, g, prior, optmethod = optmethod, control
#> = control, : Optimization failed to converge. Results may be unreliable.
#> Try increasing maxiter and rerunning.

#> Warning in estimate_mixprop(data, g, prior, optmethod = optmethod, control
#> = control, : Optimization failed to converge. Results may be unreliable.
#> Try increasing maxiter and rerunning.

#> Warning in estimate_mixprop(data, g, prior, optmethod = optmethod, control
#> = control, : Optimization failed to converge. Results may be unreliable.
#> Try increasing maxiter and rerunning.

#> Warning in estimate_mixprop(data, g, prior, optmethod = optmethod, control
#> = control, : Optimization failed to converge. Results may be unreliable.
#> Try increasing maxiter and rerunning.
#>   Difference between iterations is within 1.0e+02...
#> Warning in estimate_mixprop(data, g, prior, optmethod = optmethod, control
#> = control, : Optimization failed to converge. Results may be unreliable.
#> Try increasing maxiter and rerunning.
#>   Difference between iterations is within 1.0e+01...
#> Warning in estimate_mixprop(data, g, prior, optmethod = optmethod, control
#> = control, : Optimization failed to converge. Results may be unreliable.
#> Try increasing maxiter and rerunning.
#>   Difference between iterations is within 1.0e+00...
#>   Difference between iterations is within 1.0e-01...
#> Wrapping up...
#> Done.
#> Nullchecking 6 factors...
#> Wrapping up...
#> Done.
plot_loadings(fl$flash.fit$EF[[1]], labs)

Drift results

drift.flb <- drift(init_from_flash(fl), miniter = 750, maxiter = 1000, tol = 0.001, verbose = FALSE)
#> Warning in estimate_mixprop(data, g, prior, optmethod = optmethod, control
#> = control, : Optimization failed to converge. Results may be unreliable.
#> Try increasing maxiter and rerunning.
ggplot(drift.flb$iterations, aes(x = iter, y = elbo)) + geom_line()

drift.flb[c("elbo", "KL_l", "KL_f")]
#> $elbo
#> [1] -1636481
#> 
#> $KL_l
#> [1] -314.83695 -223.13574 -207.86085  -45.12987
#> 
#> $KL_f
#> [1] -565143.8

plot_loadings(drift.flb$EL, labs, paste("s2:", round(drift.flb$prior_s2, 2)))

plot_cov(drift.flb)

Results summary

all.drift <- list(drift.flg, drift.flb)

res.df <- data.frame(
  Name = c("flash.greedy", "flash.backfit"),
  InitialELBO = sapply(all.drift, function(x) x$iterations$elbo[1]),
  FinalELBO = sapply(all.drift, function(x) x$elbo),
  ELBOdiff = sapply(all.drift, function(x) x$elbo - x$iterations$elbo[1]),
  n_iter = sapply(all.drift, function(x) max(x$iterations$iter)),
  KL_l = sapply(all.drift, function(x) sum(x$KL_l)),
  KL_f = sapply(all.drift, function(x) x$KL_f),
  ResidS2 = sapply(all.drift, function(x) x$resid_s2)
)

knitr::kable(res.df, digits = 3)
Name InitialELBO FinalELBO ELBOdiff n_iter KL_l KL_f ResidS2
flash.greedy -1642712 -1636784 5927.954 1856 -885.382 -565375.8 0.1
flash.backfit -1638612 -1636481 2130.842 792 -790.963 -565143.8 0.1


sessionInfo()
#> R version 3.5.3 (2019-03-11)
#> Platform: x86_64-apple-darwin15.6.0 (64-bit)
#> Running under: macOS Mojave 10.14.6
#> 
#> Matrix products: default
#> BLAS: /Library/Frameworks/R.framework/Versions/3.5/Resources/lib/libRblas.0.dylib
#> LAPACK: /Library/Frameworks/R.framework/Versions/3.5/Resources/lib/libRlapack.dylib
#> 
#> locale:
#> [1] en_US.UTF-8/en_US.UTF-8/en_US.UTF-8/C/en_US.UTF-8/en_US.UTF-8
#> 
#> attached base packages:
#> [1] stats     graphics  grDevices utils     datasets  methods   base     
#> 
#> other attached packages:
#>  [1] forcats_0.4.0     stringr_1.4.0     dplyr_0.8.0.1    
#>  [4] purrr_0.3.2       readr_1.3.1       tidyr_0.8.3      
#>  [7] tibble_2.1.1      tidyverse_1.2.1   reshape2_1.4.3   
#> [10] ggplot2_3.2.0     drift.alpha_0.0.6 flashier_0.2.2   
#> 
#> loaded via a namespace (and not attached):
#>  [1] Rcpp_1.0.1        lubridate_1.7.4   lattice_0.20-38  
#>  [4] assertthat_0.2.1  rprojroot_1.3-2   digest_0.6.18    
#>  [7] foreach_1.4.4     truncnorm_1.0-8   R6_2.4.0         
#> [10] cellranger_1.1.0  plyr_1.8.4        backports_1.1.3  
#> [13] evaluate_0.13     highr_0.8         httr_1.4.0       
#> [16] pillar_1.3.1      rlang_0.4.2       lazyeval_0.2.2   
#> [19] pscl_1.5.2        readxl_1.3.1      rstudioapi_0.10  
#> [22] ebnm_0.1-24       irlba_2.3.3       whisker_0.3-2    
#> [25] Matrix_1.2-15     rmarkdown_1.12    labeling_0.3     
#> [28] munsell_0.5.0     mixsqp_0.3-15     broom_0.5.1      
#> [31] compiler_3.5.3    modelr_0.1.5      xfun_0.6         
#> [34] pkgconfig_2.0.2   SQUAREM_2017.10-1 htmltools_0.3.6  
#> [37] tidyselect_0.2.5  workflowr_1.2.0   codetools_0.2-16 
#> [40] crayon_1.3.4      withr_2.1.2       MASS_7.3-51.1    
#> [43] grid_3.5.3        nlme_3.1-137      jsonlite_1.6     
#> [46] gtable_0.3.0      git2r_0.25.2      magrittr_1.5     
#> [49] scales_1.0.0      cli_1.1.0         stringi_1.4.3    
#> [52] fs_1.2.7          doParallel_1.0.14 xml2_1.2.0       
#> [55] generics_0.0.2    iterators_1.0.10  tools_3.5.3      
#> [58] glue_1.3.1        hms_0.4.2         parallel_3.5.3   
#> [61] yaml_2.2.0        colorspace_1.4-1  ashr_2.2-38      
#> [64] rvest_0.3.4       knitr_1.22        haven_2.1.1